Comments on: Theories and Possibilities http://blog.stillaslife.com/conspiracy-theories/theories-and-possibilities/ Quicker than you can say cheese! Sat, 22 Nov 2008 04:55:04 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.3.3 By: Steve http://blog.stillaslife.com/conspiracy-theories/theories-and-possibilities/#comment-1631 Steve Tue, 16 Sep 2008 23:11:35 +0000 http://blog.stillaslife.com/conspiracy-theories/theories-and-possibilities/#comment-1631 Change is a big call. It takes a long time and a degree of inertia to tip the balances. I agree with Tim's points on this. However, it seems to me that the balance is evenly poised at the moment. It will tip and inertia will build. The cost of lost productivity during a changeover period will get to the stage where it is equal to the cost of not changing. This point will vary among different business - sizes and applications used. Small business I would say the balance is already in their favour. Larger business will take longer and it may only occur as part of corporate rationlisation/takeover/merger etc. My 2 cents worth. Is there any possibility Google = 666 ?LOL Change is a big call. It takes a long time and a degree of inertia to tip the balances. I agree with Tim’s points on this. However, it seems to me that the balance is evenly poised at the moment. It will tip and inertia will build. The cost of lost productivity during a changeover period will get to the stage where it is equal to the cost of not changing. This point will vary among different business - sizes and applications used. Small business I would say the balance is already in their favour. Larger business will take longer and it may only occur as part of corporate rationlisation/takeover/merger etc.

My 2 cents worth.

Is there any possibility Google = 666 ?LOL

]]> By: Google Chrome - The Conspiracy | Still As Life http://blog.stillaslife.com/conspiracy-theories/theories-and-possibilities/#comment-1619 Google Chrome - The Conspiracy | Still As Life Tue, 16 Sep 2008 03:27:42 +0000 http://blog.stillaslife.com/conspiracy-theories/theories-and-possibilities/#comment-1619 [...] have to say I don’t think so. The release of Chrome solidifies my views that Google are directly targeting the operating system and integrated applications market. Be [...] […] have to say I don’t think so. The release of Chrome solidifies my views that Google are directly targeting the operating system and integrated applications market. Be […]

]]> By: Snow Leopard Thus Far | Still As Life http://blog.stillaslife.com/conspiracy-theories/theories-and-possibilities/#comment-631 Snow Leopard Thus Far | Still As Life Wed, 25 Jun 2008 03:38:51 +0000 http://blog.stillaslife.com/conspiracy-theories/theories-and-possibilities/#comment-631 [...] be more interested in the Macintosh platform. Yes, there are other options available that I have talked about previously, such as using Kerio Mail Server instead of Microsoft Exchange Server. However, in a situation [...] […] be more interested in the Macintosh platform. Yes, there are other options available that I have talked about previously, such as using Kerio Mail Server instead of Microsoft Exchange Server. However, in a situation […]

]]> By: Free Macbooks for Students - University - Still As Life - http://blog.stillaslife.com/conspiracy-theories/theories-and-possibilities/#comment-36 Free Macbooks for Students - University - Still As Life - Mon, 03 Mar 2008 14:01:21 +0000 http://blog.stillaslife.com/conspiracy-theories/theories-and-possibilities/#comment-36 [...] remembers my theories on how Apple are increasing their market share and becoming more and more of a threat to Microsoft [...] […] remembers my theories on how Apple are increasing their market share and becoming more and more of a threat to Microsoft […]

]]> By: Google Plus Wiki = Wiggle? - Still As Life - http://blog.stillaslife.com/conspiracy-theories/theories-and-possibilities/#comment-29 Google Plus Wiki = Wiggle? - Still As Life - Fri, 29 Feb 2008 14:00:56 +0000 http://blog.stillaslife.com/conspiracy-theories/theories-and-possibilities/#comment-29 [...] especially those of students, I can’t see it being a rival just yet. However, it does add to my theory (more here) about Google becoming more and more of a competitor to Microsoft in the applications [...] […] especially those of students, I can’t see it being a rival just yet. However, it does add to my theory (more here) about Google becoming more and more of a competitor to Microsoft in the applications […]

]]> By: IT Theories Continued - Conspiracy Theories - Still As Life http://blog.stillaslife.com/conspiracy-theories/theories-and-possibilities/#comment-25 IT Theories Continued - Conspiracy Theories - Still As Life Sat, 23 Feb 2008 16:56:03 +0000 http://blog.stillaslife.com/conspiracy-theories/theories-and-possibilities/#comment-25 [...] my blog regarding some theories I have on future direction of some of the major IT companies at the moment, Tim from Spyjournal has added [...] […] my blog regarding some theories I have on future direction of some of the major IT companies at the moment, Tim from Spyjournal has added […]

]]> By: Tim http://blog.stillaslife.com/conspiracy-theories/theories-and-possibilities/#comment-24 Tim Sat, 23 Feb 2008 00:44:38 +0000 http://blog.stillaslife.com/conspiracy-theories/theories-and-possibilities/#comment-24 Matt - you raise some interesting points, but you miss some major ones. Some of these you may not have experienced so I can understand that. Economics there are some major economc reasons why the changes you suggested probably wont occur. In my opinion MS will remain the dominant force - more reasons below. However the economic cost of changing is more that just the cost of the software / licences. Imagine the cost and effort of changing over an entire business of say 10000 employees to something other than microsoft office on a ms os using ms servers. Apart from the huge hardware cost, the sheer cost of the it transition work, there is the vast amounts of lost productivity while people tool down, retrain and get up to speed again. For what? a small perceived increase in interopability? An organisation that size would probably lose a year. It wont happen except in very isolated incidents. I think the municipality of munich os one of the very few that has tried this. Reluctance to change / cost of change People are reluctant to change generally. 50% of people are resistant to change naturally. The effort inviolved inc hanging is huge. Sure there will be gradual creeps in attitude that will shift direction - but people tend toward easier not harder solutions. Integration this is a key one. Major government departments here in Brisbane that used Lotus 1-2-3 - because it was free, all bought office as well. I developed applications on both systems. Eventually they stopped using the free software and paid for MS because it worked with everything else. some of them still use lotus notes, and generally hate it becuase it doesn't integrate well Functionality Sure google online apps offer some nice features from a connect anywhere perspective, but they are lightweight apps. Can you imagine trying to use notepad to construct a 45 page technical reference document - Of course not. Just as Google spreadsheets cannot even begint o get close tot he power of Excel and the Sharepoint Document management system is far superior to any other internal CMS. Why - because it works out of the box and it integrates. Summary I think your ideas regarding jobs, gates and apple/microsoft/google future directions are fair, but the balance will not change. I believe Microsoft has the wight of the world behind it, and Apple will never get that (big call). If MS is smart I think they would join forces with google and let google manage the in the cloud stuff, or else spend a bucket load of money and get Live working right and then we can forget Google. To be honest I would rather trust MS than Google. Matt - you raise some interesting points, but you miss some major ones. Some of these you may not have experienced so I can understand that.

Economics
there are some major economc reasons why the changes you suggested probably wont occur. In my opinion MS will remain the dominant force - more reasons below. However the economic cost of changing is more that just the cost of the software / licences. Imagine the cost and effort of changing over an entire business of say 10000 employees to something other than microsoft office on a ms os using ms servers.
Apart from the huge hardware cost, the sheer cost of the it transition work, there is the vast amounts of lost productivity while people tool down, retrain and get up to speed again. For what? a small perceived increase in interopability? An organisation that size would probably lose a year. It wont happen except in very isolated incidents. I think the municipality of munich os one of the very few that has tried this.

Reluctance to change / cost of change
People are reluctant to change generally. 50% of people are resistant to change naturally. The effort inviolved inc hanging is huge. Sure there will be gradual creeps in attitude that will shift direction - but people tend toward easier not harder solutions.

Integration
this is a key one. Major government departments here in Brisbane that used Lotus 1-2-3 - because it was free, all bought office as well. I developed applications on both systems. Eventually they stopped using the free software and paid for MS because it worked with everything else. some of them still use lotus notes, and generally hate it becuase it doesn’t integrate well

Functionality
Sure google online apps offer some nice features from a connect anywhere perspective, but they are lightweight apps. Can you imagine trying to use notepad to construct a 45 page technical reference document - Of course not. Just as Google spreadsheets cannot even begint o get close tot he power of Excel and the Sharepoint Document management system is far superior to any other internal CMS. Why - because it works out of the box and it integrates.

Summary
I think your ideas regarding jobs, gates and apple/microsoft/google future directions are fair, but the balance will not change. I believe Microsoft has the wight of the world behind it, and Apple will never get that (big call). If MS is smart I think they would join forces with google and let google manage the in the cloud stuff, or else spend a bucket load of money and get Live working right and then we can forget Google. To be honest I would rather trust MS than Google.

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